Full Report
The salvage vehicle auction arena
When a car is wrecked, stolen, or flooded, the insurer that owns the claim faces a simple arithmetic decision: pay to repair the vehicle, or declare it a total loss, pay the policyholder its pre-accident value, take title, and sell the wreck for whatever it will fetch. The business Copart operates in exists to answer the second half of that decision — turning a totaled car into cash. Copart runs online auctions that connect the sellers of these vehicles, overwhelmingly insurance companies, with a global pool of buyers who want the car, its parts, or its scrap metal [1].
The economic organizing principle is a marketplace, not a dealership. In most of its markets Copart never buys the car; it acts as the seller's agent, charges fees to both the consignor and the winning bidder, and remits the proceeds. Insurance companies supplied 81% of the vehicles Copart processed in fiscal 2025 [1]; the buyers are licensed dismantlers, rebuilders, used-car dealers, exporters, and the public [1]. Because it is a fee business layered on top of a physical logistics network — tow trucks, title clerks, and hundreds of storage yards — the industry's revenue looks small next to the value of the cars flowing through it, but its margins are unusually high. This tab lays out what is sold, how the value chain and profit pools are arranged, who the players are, the forces that divide the arena, and where the cycle sits today.
Copart Revenue, FY2025 ($B)
Operating Margin
Return on Capital Employed
Vehicles from Insurers
Int'l Share of U.S. Units Sold
Registered Buyers
Sources: FY2025 revenue and margin, Consolidated Statements of Income [2]; ROCE derived from reported financials; insurer and international shares and buyer count, Item 1 Business [1] [3].
What is sold: the total-loss decision
The unit of trade is a damaged, stolen-recovered, or otherwise written-off vehicle, and the supply of that unit is manufactured by an insurance adjuster's calculation. When a car is damaged, the adjuster estimates the cost of repair against the vehicle's pre-accident value ("PAV") less its estimated salvage value; if repair costs more than the car is worth net of salvage, the insurer declares a total loss, settles with the owner, takes title, and assigns the wreck to a remarketer like Copart [4]. That single calculation is the tap that fills the industry's funnel, and it is governed by two independent variables: what it costs to repair a car, and what a used car is worth. When repair costs rise or used values fall, more cars cross the total-loss threshold.
Two structural currents keep tilting that math toward totaling. First, cars are getting harder to repair: manufacturers keep adding unibody exotic metals, airbags, cameras, radar, and drivetrain electrification, so a newer car in an accident is more expensive to fix and more likely to be written off [4]. Second, this is a slow-moving secular trend, not a blip — Copart's management notes that total loss frequency has grown more than fourfold since 1990 and has been the key catalyst of the industry's growth for decades [5].
Who holds purchasing power is asymmetric. On the supply side, a concentrated set of large insurers decides which remarketer receives its salvage; the factors they weigh are the anticipated percentage return on salvage (gross proceeds minus handling and selling costs, divided by PAV), the breadth of services, price, disaster response, and geographic coverage [6]. On the demand side, buyers are fragmented — roughly one million registered members worldwide — and the largest single group is vehicle dismantlers who part out the cars they buy [3].
The value chain and where the profit sits
A totaled car travels a fixed path from accident to buyer, and the remarketer inserts itself at the middle of it — taking custody but not, in most markets, ownership. The stages below trace that path and mark where cost, risk, and profit accumulate.
Sources: total-loss and title mechanics and pickup timing, Industry Overview [4]; VB3 two-step auction and global buyer base [1].
The profit pool concentrates in one place: the platform that stands between insurer and buyer. The remarketer's revenue is not the price of the car — it is the stack of fees it charges for remarketing services (purchasing fees, listing fees, selling fees, transport, title processing, storage, and bidding fees), recognized net at the time of auction [7]. In fiscal 2025 these service fees were 85% of Copart's revenue; the remaining 15% is "vehicle sales," the gross proceeds of the minority of cars it buys outright and resells for its own account, chiefly in the U.K., Germany, and Spain [8] [1]. That agency structure is why a $4.6 billion revenue line throws off a $1.7 billion operating profit [7] [2]: the company earns a toll on the transaction rather than a spread on the asset.
Two physical assets guard that toll. The first is land: total-loss cars must be stored, often for months while titles clear, and yards need local zoning permits that are slow and contentious to obtain [9]. Copart describes a global footprint of roughly 19,000 acres of outdoor storage as a core differentiator [10]. The second is buyer liquidity: the more bidders an auction attracts, the higher the price a given wreck fetches, which raises the seller's return and reinforces the insurer's reason to keep consigning there. Copart runs that auction as a purely virtual, two-step process on its VB3 platform, with no requirement for buyers to travel to the yard [1].
The single most important source of that liquidity is international demand. In fiscal 2025, members registered outside the vehicle's home state bought 69.8% of U.S. units sold, and international members alone took 38.8% [1]. Because foreign buyers tend to bid on the more valuable cars, they account for close to half of auction proceeds despite being roughly 40% of units [11]. Many of these cars are rebuilt and returned to the road in Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America, where an American write-off is affordable transportation — a fact that ties this industry's pricing to global FX, trade policy, and the mobility needs of developing economies [11].
Market size and structure
The corpus does not contain an independent, dollar-denominated market size for salvage vehicle auctions, and Copart itself publishes none; the honest read is that the industry is best measured in vehicle units and, in the U.S. salvage segment, is a two-firm structure. Copart names its principal U.S. rivals as RB Global — which owns Insurance Auto Auctions (IAA), the only other national salvage auctioneer at scale — alongside Carvana, OPENLANE, Manheim, and ACV Auctions in adjacent segments, and LKQ as the largest national dismantler [3]. In practice Copart and IAA together handle the great majority of U.S. insurer salvage, which makes the salvage-auction layer a duopoly sitting inside a much larger, more fragmented used-vehicle economy.
That larger economy provides the scale markers the salvage segment lacks. OPENLANE sizes the U.S. and Canadian wholesale used-vehicle market at roughly 15 million vehicles a year, and reports facilitating about 1.5 million transactions worth $28.8 billion of gross merchandise value in 2025 [12] [13]. Carvana, citing Cox Automotive, puts U.S. used-car retail at about 37 million transactions in 2024 [14]. Salvage is a slice of that whole: the cars insurers total out feed the same downstream pool of dismantlers, rebuilders, dealers, and exporters. These figures come from different companies on different fiscal years and geographies and are not additive; they are offered only to frame the order of magnitude, not as a salvage TAM.
The players and their economics
The names Copart lists as competitors run genuinely different businesses, and the single most common error in this arena is to compare their revenues directly. The four true marketplaces — Copart, RB Global/IAA, OPENLANE, and ACV Auctions — report net fee revenue as agents, so their top lines are a fraction of the value of cars transacted. The retailers (Carvana, CarMax) and the parts distributor (LKQ) report gross proceeds, so their revenues are an order of magnitude larger but not comparable. The tables below keep those two groups separate.
Sources: revenue, growth, and operating margin derived from each company's latest annual report as reported (FY ending 2025), and ROCE from reported financials; ACV total revenue and operating loss [15]; Copart figures per Consolidated Statements of Income [2]. Fiscal years differ (Copart ends July; peers end December).
Read across the four marketplaces and the profit pool's concentration is obvious. On comparable agency revenue, Copart and IAA are of similar scale, but Copart earns a 36.5% operating margin and a 29.6% return on capital employed, against IAA-parent RB Global's 15.5% margin and 8.0% return [2]. OPENLANE, in adjacent wholesale, earns a 10.2% margin; ACV Auctions, the fast-growing dealer-wholesale disruptor, is still running operating losses as it buys share [15]. The gap is the story of the arena: salvage auctions, where supply is contractually sticky and the buyer network is global, are structurally more profitable than wholesale auctions, where dealers can and do shop across venues.
Source: derived from each company's FY2025 annual report, as reported; Copart Consolidated Statements of Income [2]; ACV Auctions MD&A [15].
The adjacent channels below are not auction competitors but define the ecosystem around salvage — the retail market that sets used-car values, and the dismantler channel that consumes total-loss cars as parts feedstock.
Sources: Carvana Business [14]; CarMax Business [16]; LKQ Business [17]; revenue as reported (fiscal years ending 2025–2026).
RB Global describes itself as an omnichannel marketplace whose brands include the Ritchie Bros. commercial-asset auctioneer and IAA, the salvage-auction business it acquired in 2023 and rebranded [18]; on its earnings calls it confirms it retains 100% of that salvage-auction business and measures it, as Copart does, by salvage value as a percentage of pre-accident value [19]. OPENLANE and ACV Auctions are wholesale marketplaces that, like Copart, generally do not take title to the vehicles they sell — but their sellers are dealers, fleets, and lessors rather than insurers, and their vehicles are drivable trade-ins rather than wrecks [13] [20]. LKQ sits downstream as a buyer: it procures salvage products by dismantling total-loss vehicles it acquires at salvage auctions [21] — which makes the largest dismantlers both customers of the auctions and, when they buy directly from insurers, a channel that can bypass them entirely [3].
The forces that divide the arena
Five structural tensions shape returns in this industry more than any single quarter's volume. They are summarized below and then drawn out.
Sources: seller concentration and contract terms [22]; dismantler bypass [3]; zoning and titling [9]; regulatory and DOJ matters [23]; seasonality [24].
Insurers hold the supply. A limited number of large insurance companies collectively account for a substantial share of volume, no single one exceeds 10% of Copart's revenue, and the agreements are customized, cancellable, and generally not long-term commitments [3] [22]. That gives suppliers real leverage on price and terms, offset by the fact that a remarketer with the deepest buyer pool returns the most money per salvage car, which is exactly the metric insurers say they optimize [6]. The competitive contest is therefore fought on net returns to the seller, not on headline fees.
Entry is hard, and getting harder. New capacity needs local land with permits that communities frequently oppose, so incumbents' yard networks are difficult to replicate [9] [23]. Layered on top is a thickening regulatory perimeter: state-by-state titling rules, import/export controls that govern the flow of cars to foreign buyers, GDPR and CCPA-style data rules, environmental liability at storage sites, and — specific to this moment — an ongoing U.S. Department of Justice investigation into anti-money-laundering practices on the auction platform, which Copart is cooperating with [23]. These raise the cost of operating for everyone in the arena but weigh most on smaller entrants.
Where the cycle sits
The industry runs on two engines that are, right now, pulling in opposite directions. The first — total-loss frequency — is secular and still climbing. The second — the number of insurance claims and the used-car values that determine each car's price — is cyclical, and it has turned. Managements across the salvage arena describe the same conditions, which is what lets the reads below be triangulated rather than taken from one company.
Engine one: total loss frequency keeps rising
CCC Intelligent Solutions publishes the share of claimed vehicles that insurers declare a total loss, and every large player cites it. On Copart's calls the figure walked from 19.3% in the third calendar quarter of 2023, when it was still recovering off a ~17% trough, up through the low-20s and to 24.2% in the fourth quarter of 2025 [25] [26]. Over a decade the trend is unmistakable: Copart puts calendar-2015 total loss frequency at 15.6% against 23.1% for calendar-2025 [26]. RB Global independently cites the same CCC series — a total loss frequency of 22.6% in early 2025, up from 21.9% a year earlier — and attributes it to the persistent inflation gap between repair costs and used-vehicle values [27].
Source: CCC total loss frequency as reported on Copart earnings calls, Q1 FY2024 through Q3 FY2026 [25] [26] [28]. The 4Q24 reading was partly inflated by a heavy hurricane season, which carries very high total-loss rates; figures blend all loss categories.
Engine two: claim volume has turned down while prices set records
The second engine cuts the other way. Copart's U.S. insurance unit volume grew high-single to low-double digits through fiscal 2024 and into early fiscal 2025, then rolled over: units were roughly flat by the third quarter of fiscal 2025 and fell 9.5% year-over-year in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 [29]. Management attributes the decline to consumers pulling back on auto insurance — earned car years fell about 4% even as the vehicle fleet grew — compounded by tough comparisons against the active 2024 hurricane season [28]. At the same time, average selling prices swung from falling to record-setting: U.S. insurance prices, which had held up far better than the double-digit declines in the Manheim used-vehicle index during fiscal 2024, turned positive and reached a seasonally adjusted all-time high by the third quarter of fiscal 2026, up 8.4% year-over-year at the fiscal-2026 peak [30] [29].
Source: Copart U.S. insurance unit-volume and average-selling-price growth as reported each quarter, Q1 FY2024–Q3 FY2026 [25] [29] [28].
The picture, then, is a price-up, volume-down phase. Rising total-loss frequency and record prices per car are cushioning a genuine decline in claim volume, and management frames the volume softness as cyclical — driven by insurance-coverage retrenchment and storm comps — rather than a structural loss of share, pointing to low-single-digit growth in vehicle assignments and a recent moderation among U.S. carriers as early signs of stabilization [28]. Whether that framing holds is a question for the chapters; the observable fact is that the current volume downturn is the sharpest in the multi-year record even as the pricing and total-loss engines run hot. It is worth noting the whole sector has de-rated in the market over the same window, but that is a valuation matter this tab leaves to later analysis.
The long arc behind the cycle
Stepping back from the quarters, the industry Copart operates in has compounded for decades on a single mechanical trend — cars keep getting more expensive to repair relative to their value, so more of them get totaled — expressed through a fee-based, asset-backed marketplace that converts that rising flow into high-margin, cash-generative revenue. The peer economics show the profit pool concentrates in the salvage-auction layer; the cycle evidence shows that layer's volume is cyclical even when its long-run direction is up. A reader who holds both facts at once — secular total-loss growth, cyclical claim volume — has the mental model needed to read the rest of this report.
Source: Copart Consolidated Statements of Income, FY2020–FY2025 10-Ks [2]; operating margin derived from reported financials. Revenue is 83% U.S. and 17% international; U.S. carries the higher segment operating margin [31] [32].
Copart's own path from a single California yard in 1982 to an eleven-country network is the subject of History; the head-to-head record against IAA and the wholesale disruptors belongs to Competition. This tab's job is the playing field: what is sold, who pays, where the profit sits, and which way the cycle is running.
The rival record
Copart sells salvage and total-loss vehicles for insurance companies through an online auction platform, VB3, and takes a fee (or, in a few markets, buys the car and resells it for its own account) rather than the gross sale price [1]. That model — a two-sided marketplace whose supply is concentrated in insurance carriers — defines who Copart actually competes with, and it is a narrower field than a "used-vehicle" screen suggests. In fiscal 2025 Copart generated $4.6 billion of revenue and $1.7 billion of operating income, and drew 81% of the vehicles it processed from insurance-company sellers [2].
This tab lays out that record: who overlaps where, what each rival's own filings and calls say, how the named-competitor list has moved as the industry consolidated, and what the filings disclose about the terms that make an insurance-supply relationship easy or hard to switch. It is the comparative source shelf a moat argument has to survive; it does not make that judgment. Arena structure and value-chain economics belong to Industry; the raw per-competitor source pages sit in Competitors.
Copart names its principal competitors in its own words: "RB Global (including its subsidiary Insurance Auto Auctions, Inc.), Carvana, Openlane, Manheim, Inc. and ACV Auctions Inc.," with LKQ Corporation as "the largest national dismantler," a buyer that "may purchase salvage vehicles directly from insurance companies, thereby bypassing vehicle remarketing companies like Copart entirely" [1].
The one direct-model rival, and the adjacents
Only one of the named competitors runs Copart's exact business — salvage and total-loss auctions for insurance carriers: Insurance Auto Auctions (IAA), now a subsidiary of RB Global. The others overlap at the edges. Openlane and ACV Auctions are whole-car wholesale marketplaces that connect dealers and commercial fleets, not insurance-salvage venues. Carvana is primarily an online used-car retailer that also owns the ADESA physical whole-car auction network. CarMax — staged in the peer set but not named by Copart — is a used-car retailer. LKQ is an alternative-parts and dismantling business that competes as a buyer of total-loss cars, and can source them directly.
Overlap read against Copart's disclosed model and its named-competitor list [1]; each rival's model confirmed from its own filing: RB Global/IAA [4]; Openlane [6]; ACV Auctions [7]; LKQ [8].
The direct rival — IAA / RB Global. IAA is the one competitor built around the same insurance-salvage flow. RB Global (formerly Ritchie Bros.) "completed its acquisition of IAA, Inc. … for a total purchase price of approximately $6.6 billion" on March 20, 2023, describing the deal as a move "to create a leading omnichannel marketplace for vehicle buyers and sellers" [4]. One comparability caveat runs through everything below: RB Global now reports "one operating and reportable segment" that folds IAA's automotive-salvage marketplace together with its legacy commercial, construction and transportation auction business [5]. Its consolidated $4.6 billion of revenue is therefore not a clean salvage-only figure to set against Copart's.
The whole-car adjacents — Openlane and ACV. Openlane describes itself as "a leading digital marketplace for wholesale used vehicles" facilitating "approximately 1.5 million annual vehicle transactions with a gross merchandise value … of $28.8 billion in 2025," selling for dealers and commercial fleets and generally not taking title [6]. ACV competes "mainly … with large, national physical vehicle auction companies, such as Manheim … Adesa, a subsidiary of Carvana, and OPENLANE," a market it calls "largely consolidated" [7]. Neither firm names insurance salvage as its arena — their supply is dealer and fleet whole-car, so they compete with Copart's non-insurance growth push, not its core.
The bypass buyer — LKQ. LKQ is not a remarketer at all; it is a dismantler whose economics depend on buying total-loss cars, noting that "the availability and pricing of total loss vehicles used in our salvage products operations" is a supply input for it [8]. Copart flags the same relationship from the other side: dismantlers "may purchase salvage vehicles directly from insurance companies, thereby bypassing vehicle remarketing companies like Copart entirely" [3].
How the named-competitor list moved
Copart re-writes its list of "largest national or regional vehicle auctioneers" each year, and the last four filings track the industry's consolidation almost line by line. In fiscal 2021 the list named IAA as a standalone company alongside "KAR Auction Services, Inc. … (including its subsidiary ADESA, Inc.)" [9]. By fiscal 2023 IAA had become a subsidiary of "Ritchie Bros.," and KAR/ADESA had dropped off entirely [10]. By fiscal 2024 two new names — Carvana and Openlane — had appeared, reflecting Carvana's purchase of ADESA's US physical auctions and KAR's rebranding to OPENLANE [11].
Source: Copart Form 10-K competition sections, FY2021 [9], FY2023 [10], FY2024 [11], FY2025 [1].
Two structural facts fall out of that sequence. First, US salvage auctions have narrowed toward a two-firm field — Copart and IAA — with the whole-car names entering the list because of adjacency, not because they run salvage yards. Second, the ownership changes moved IAA behind a much larger, more diversified parent (RB Global) and put ADESA's physical network under a cash-hungry retailer (Carvana), which changes who has the balance sheet and the incentives to compete for insurance supply.
Rivals' numbers, side by side
The peers span three revenue conventions, and comparing the headline top lines directly would mislead. Copart and the marketplace firms (RB Global/IAA, Openlane, ACV) report net fee or consignment revenue; the retailers (Carvana, CarMax) and the parts business (LKQ) report gross vehicle or parts sales. The table below carries a "reporting basis" column so the mismatch is explicit; margins and market value, which are unit-consistent, sit alongside.
Latest fiscal year each (Copart, Openlane, RB Global, ACV, Carvana, LKQ = FY2025; CarMax = FY2026, ended Feb 2026). Revenue/op. margin: Copart FY2025 10-K income statement [12]; peers from reported financials and filings — RB Global [4], Openlane [6], ACV [7]. Market caps and free cash flow as reported; ACV op. margin is negative (an operating loss). Values in US dollars.
Two reads survive the caveats. Copart's operating margin — 36.5% in fiscal 2025 — sits well above every peer that reports on a comparable basis; RB Global, the closest-model rival, ran 15.5%, and the whole-car marketplaces Openlane and ACV ran roughly 10% and an operating loss, respectively. And Copart carries the largest equity value of the group even though its revenue is a fraction of the retailers'. The retailers' and dismantler's revenues are larger because they book the whole car or part, not a fee — a difference of accounting, not of contested turf.
Restricting the comparison to the fee-and-marketplace cohort — where margins are like-for-like — shows the same gap over time, and shows that it is not a one-year artifact.
Operating margin as reported; RB Global and Openlane report on differing fiscal calendars (Dec 31) versus Copart (Jul 31). Copart from its 10-K income statements [12]; RB Global and Openlane from reported financials. Copart's operating margin narrowed gradually as it scaled purchased-vehicle and international activity.
Copart's own scale and its dependence on insurance supply frame the whole comparison:
Revenue FY2025 ($M)
Operating margin
Free cash flow ($M)
Vehicles from insurers
Source: Copart FY2025 10-K — revenue and operating income [12]; insurance-sourced share of vehicles processed [2]. Free cash flow from reported cash flows.
Copart itself grew steadily across the period, revenue rising from $2.69 billion in fiscal 2021 to $4.65 billion in fiscal 2025 while operating income rose from $1.14 billion to $1.70 billion [13] [12].
Source: Copart Form 10-K income statements — FY2021–FY2022 from the FY2023 10-K [13]; FY2023–FY2025 from the FY2025 10-K [12].
Where volume is actually moving
Copart discloses unit trends but not a market-share figure, so the disclosed data and management's characterization of it have to be kept apart. On the data side, the structural driver is total-loss frequency — the share of accident vehicles insurers write off rather than repair. Copart put US total-loss frequency at 22.6% for calendar 2025 through September, "an increase of 80 basis points or so year over year according to CCC," and described "its longterm upward trend consistent with nearly the entirety of the history of our company and our industry" [14]. Rising total-loss frequency expands the salvage pool that Copart and IAA divide.
Against that tailwind, Copart's own insurance volumes softened recently: it reported that "global insurance units for 2026 declined 8.4% … a 5.6% decline, excluding catastrophic volumes," with US insurance units down 9.5% (7.3% ex-catastrophe), attributing the move to "a combination of market share evolution among insurance carriers themselves, soft claims counts … offset by rising total loss frequency" [14]. That is management's read of a mix of carrier share shifts and claims softness — not a disclosed loss of salvage share to a named rival, and worth separating from the structural total-loss story.
Management also frames its competitive set more broadly than the salvage names. Asked about competition, the CEO said auction-mediated volume in the US is "5x or more of the volume that we sell per year," that even an insurance carrier "can sell their cars through other intermediaries" or "have more of them repaired," and that "in many respects, we compete with the repair shops. The higher the returns we generate, the more we can win the rights to resolve that claim versus the repair industry" [15]. On that framing, the binding contest is auction returns versus the repair alternative, with the named auctioneers one part of a larger opportunity set.
The switching reality
Two things govern how sticky an insurance-supply relationship is: the contract terms, and the returns that make a seller want to stay. Copart's filings speak to both — and, unusually, disclose that the contracts themselves are not long-dated locks.
Copart contracts "with the national, regional or branch office of an insurance company," with agreements "customized to each vehicle seller's needs" that "generally provide that we will sell vehicles generated by the vehicle seller in a designated geographic area," and no single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 or 2023 [1]. Its risk factor is explicit that these are not multi-year guarantees: it cites "the absence of long-term contractual commitments between us and our sellers," "particularly in the U.K., and other foreign markets," and warns "there can be no assurance that our competitors will not gain market share at our expense" [3].
Source: Copart FY2025 10-K — customized agreements and customer concentration [1]; absence of long-term commitments and share-loss risk [3]; retention framing [16].
The record here is genuinely two-sided, and worth stating as such. The paper contracts are short and customizable, which on its face lowers switching costs; yet Copart reports that its integrated technology and returns generate "high client retention" and let it "expand our national supply contracts" [16], and its growth strategy leans on "our ability to achieve high net returns and broader access to buyers through our national coverage" when pursuing insurance-supply agreements [17]. The evidence that binds sellers is performance-based, not contractual — which is exactly why the recent US insurance-unit softness and the "market share evolution among insurance carriers" comment are worth watching rather than dismissing.
International — a different competitive mix
Copart earned 83% of its fiscal 2025 revenue in the US and 17% internationally, where US service revenue was $3.45 billion against $517 million abroad [18]. Abroad the model and the rivals differ: Copart often acts as principal, "primarily in the U.K.," buying vehicles and reselling them for its own account, and its "principal competitors are vehicle auction and sales companies, vehicle dismantlers, and privately-held independent remarketers" rather than the named US auctioneers [2] [1]. The absence of long-term seller commitments is disclosed as most acute in these foreign markets [3], and Openlane's own filing confirms it competes in the same UK/European whole-car ground [6].
Taken together, the record shows a US salvage arena that has narrowed to Copart and IAA/RB Global, a set of whole-car and retail firms that overlap only at the edges of Copart's non-insurance push, a profitability gap that is real on comparable metrics, and a switching regime built on returns rather than paper — with recent US insurance-volume softness that the rival filings and calls do not yet explain. Those are the facts a moat judgment has to reckon with; the judgment itself belongs to the chapters.
History
The primary record for Copart runs deep from fiscal 2020 forward — five annual reports, the earnings calls from fiscal 2022 onward, and the 8-K stream — over a corporate spine that reaches back to a single 1982 salvage yard. Copart was founded in 1982 with one auction facility [1], incorporated in California and reincorporated in Delaware in January 2012 [2], and has traded on NASDAQ under CPRT since March 17, 1994, paying no cash dividend in the three decades since [3].
Within the covered window the record has a few clean breaks: a used-vehicle super-cycle that lifted selling prices and margins into fiscal 2021–2022; a margin-compression stretch as land, technology, and storm costs outran volume from fiscal 2024; a widening gap between rising total-loss frequency and flat-to-declining insurance unit volumes; a three-CEO reshuffle in four years that ended with the founder-era chief executive returning in mid-2026; and a capital-allocation pivot in fiscal 2026 — the first material buybacks since 2019 — against a share price sitting roughly 54% below its trailing three-year high. This tab records those beats, the promises management made against them, and how the explanations changed. It does not judge them.
The arc in dated beats
Sources: FY2025 proxy, "Our History Drives Our Future" [3]; FY2025 10-K, listing and international history [3][4]; FY2024 10-K, acquisitions and stock splits [5][6]; officer 8-Ks (2024, 2026) [7][8].
The business model is the through-line. Copart runs a 100% online auction — its VB3 virtual-bidding platform, patented in 2008, is what let it eliminate the expense and capital of live auctions [9]. The international footprint was built by acquisition, in a sequence the 10-K states plainly: "We first expanded our operations outside the U.S. in fiscal 2003 with an acquisition in Canada," followed by the U.K. in fiscal 2007–2008, the UAE, Brazil, Germany, and Spain in fiscal 2013, and later entries through fiscal 2022 [10].
Revenue and margins, FY2020–FY2025
Source: FY2025 10-K, Consolidated Statements of Income (FY2023–FY2025) [11]; FY2023 10-K (FY2020–FY2022) [12].
Revenue more than doubled over six years, from $2.21 billion in fiscal 2020 to $4.65 billion in fiscal 2025 [13][14]. Operating margin tells a second story: it peaked at 42.2% in fiscal 2021, at the height of the used-vehicle boom, then drifted lower every year to 36.5% in fiscal 2025 — the arithmetic behind management's repeated promise of "operating leverage" and the record of what actually happened to margins over the same span.
Source: derived from reported operating income and revenue, FY2023 and FY2025 10-Ks [15][16].
Leadership: three chief executives in four years
Control has stayed close to the founder. Willis J. Johnson founded Copart, served as CEO from 1982 to February 2010, and has chaired the board since January 2004 [17]. His son-in-law, A. Jayson (Jay) Adair, rose from manager of operations in 1989 to president in 1996 and CEO in February 2010; he became co-CEO in April 2022 and Executive Chairman in April 2024. Jeff Liaw joined as CFO in September 2016, became president, then co-CEO in 2022, and sole CEO in April 2024 [18]. The March 2024 succession made Liaw "the Company's sole principal executive officer and principal operating officer" effective April 1, 2024 [19]. Leah C. Stearns has been CFO since December 2022 [20].
That planned succession reversed roughly two years later. On June 29, 2026 the board appointed Adair — the Executive Chairman — as CEO again, effective July 31, 2026, with Liaw stepping down as CEO and resigning from the board; the filing states his "decision to resign was not the result of any disagreement with the Company" [21]. The press release called Liaw the company's "third-ever CEO" and named him a Special Advisor to Adair [22]. His separation terms include a $450,000 lump sum plus $200,000 during the transition, waived equity holding periods, and eliminated option price hurdles [23]. On July 8, 2026 the company named Jane Pocock, its UK chief executive, as President effective August 1, 2026 [24].
Capital allocation
For the covered years, capital allocation reads as reinvest-and-accumulate. Copart returned effectively nothing to shareholders: it has paid no dividend since 1994, and despite an open repurchase authorization it bought back no stock in fiscal 2021 through 2025 [3][16]. The two 2-for-1 splits of November 2022 and August 2023 were cosmetic, not returns of capital [25].
Sources: capex per MD and A, land and facility driven [26]; free cash flow derived from reported operating cash flow less capital expenditures, FY2020–FY2025; zero repurchases FY2021–FY2025 [16].
Instead the cash went two places. First, into land and facilities: capital expenditure ran roughly $340–590 million a year, "primarily related to acquiring land, opening and improving facilities, capitalized software development costs… and lease buyouts" [27]. Second, into the balance sheet: by July 31, 2025 Copart held $2.78 billion of cash and restricted cash plus $2.01 billion of held-to-maturity securities — roughly $4.8 billion — against an undrawn revolver [28][29]. On what to do with it, the FY2025 10-K says only that the company is "considering a variety of alternative potential uses for our remaining cash balances and our cash flows from operations" [30].
The two acquisitions in the window were small and largely non-cash — which is why the cash-flow acquisition line reads near zero. Hills Motors, a U.K. parts recycler, was bought for $106.6 million cash in fiscal 2022; Purple Wave, an online heavy-equipment auctioneer, was an 80% stake acquired in October 2023 for $112.1 million in Copart stock [31]. The earlier National Powersport Auctions deal (fiscal 2017) is named but its economics are not disclosed in the covered filings [32].
The buyback posture, said and then done
The clearest said-versus-did event in the record is the buyback. Copart framed repurchases as rare and opportunistic — "to the extent we had excess cash, we have leveraged the share repurchase program, but have done so very opportunistically" (Feb 2024) [33]. Asked directly in November 2025, management deflected: there "for sure will come a day," but the how, when, and where was "a conversation for another day" [34]. One quarter later it had begun buying: over 13 million shares for more than $500 million by February 2026 [35], scaling to more than 43.4 million shares for over $1.6 billion fiscal-year-to-date by the May 2026 call — the first material repurchases since roughly $365 million in fiscal 2019 [36].
Buybacks FY21–FY25
FY26 YTD by Q2 ($M)
FY26 YTD by Q3 ($M)
Sources: no repurchases FY2021–FY2025 [16]; FY2026 repurchases per Q2 and Q3 FY2026 calls [37][38].
The debt side stayed conservative throughout: the December 2021 facility carried a $1.25 billion revolver that was never drawn, and in January 2026 Copart replaced it with a new $1.25 billion unsecured revolver maturing in 2031 [39][40].
Management said versus what followed
Copart declines to give numeric guidance — "as a rule, we don't provide forward-looking guidance" (May 2024) [41]. What it puts on the record instead is a stable set of qualitative commitments — reinvestment ahead of returns, and "operating leverage" over the long run. The table below pairs the commitment with the measurable outcome that followed.
Sources: no-guidance policy [42]; reinvestment and operating-leverage commitments [43][44]; "partially recede" and Purple Wave GTV target [45]; margin compression [46]; buyback reversal [47][48].
The reinvestment commitment was kept and quantified: in Q1 FY2024 the CFO put "our first priority is to deploy capital to grow our core business" alongside "over the long run, we continue to expect operating leverage as we grow," with roughly 80% of that quarter's $162 million of capex going to physical capacity [49]. The operating-leverage half is the one to watch against the margin line above — the same promise had been voiced by the prior CFO in fiscal 2022 [50], yet gross margin fell about 340 basis points to 42.4% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 [51], with U.S. yard depreciation and amortization named as the driver [52].
Explanation drift
The most instructive part of the record is how management's account of the same recurring problems moved over time. Three threads stand out.
Total-loss frequency versus volume
Copart's volume thesis rests on total-loss frequency — the share of damaged vehicles insurers write off rather than repair. The framing shifted as the numbers stopped cooperating.
FY2022 (Nov): "Total loss frequency is negatively correlated with used car prices." — Jeff Liaw [53]
FY2022 (May): total-loss frequency "has declined over the course of the past 12 months," but "we believe the market will ultimately revert to the historical norm of steadily rising total loss frequency." [54]
FY2024 (Nov): frequency "troughed at just north of 17%" in mid-2022 and "is now 19.3%," with U.S. insurance volumes up 9.7% but "still… suppressed." [55]
FY2025 (Feb): frequency "hit 23.8%, an all-time high, though a portion of that is attributable to those storm events." [56]
FY2026 (Nov): with frequency flattening, "reading a whole lot into 80 basis points versus 130 or versus plus 30… is more noise than it is signal" — the same quarter U.S. insurance units fell 9.5%. [57][58]
FY2026 (May): "we are very much not passive beneficiaries of an increase in total loss frequency. We have helped to drive it upwards." [59]
The account travelled from a macro correlation, to a multi-decade trend that would "revert," to a hedge that all-time-high frequency was storm-inflated, to near-term flattening being "noise," to Copart itself as an active cause of rising frequency. Across the same span reported U.S. insurance volumes went from +9.7% to roughly -4% [60][61].
Catastrophe events, from "incremental" to "not profitable"
Storms recur in the record with a changing frame — first as a small cost of serving insurers, later as an outright drag. Hurricane Ida in Q1 FY2022 was "an operating loss from the event… of a few million dollars," roughly 100–150 basis points of gross margin [62]. Hurricane Ian added "approximately $25 million" of cost in Q1 FY2023 [63]; Helene and Milton cost $29 million in Q1 FY2025 [64]. By September 2025 the framing had turned: "on a truly fully loaded basis over a long horizon… catastrophic events are surely not… profitable for Copart" [65]. Those same prior-year storms then became the comparison that suppressed every fiscal 2026 print — the prior year "included revenue from over 49,000 CAT-related vehicles" [66].
Selling prices, benchmarked to a moving yardstick
As used-vehicle values fell from their fiscal 2022 peak — worldwide selling prices had risen 13% year over year that May [67] — Copart began benchmarking its own prices against the Manheim index to show resilience. In Q3 FY2024, U.S. insurance selling prices were down "less than 2%" against a "nearly 14%" Manheim decline [68]; by September 2025 management said its prices grew "more than fivefold that of service providers similar to ours" [69]. As the comparison narrowed in fiscal 2026 — U.S. insurance ASPs up 4.1% — the label held: "a seasonally adjusted all-time record high" [70].
KPI and segment definitions
Two definitional changes matter for anyone comparing periods.
The first is a reporting change: beginning with the Q1 FY2026 results (November 20, 2025), Copart added formal segment reporting — "The Company has provided segment reporting information as a new table within this press release" [71]. The new table splits results into United States and International, showing U.S. operating income of $375.0 million and International of $55.7 million for the quarter [72]. The change was disclosed in the release and 10-Q rather than explained on the call.
The second is a measurement habit rather than a formal restatement: how management defines the growth number it emphasizes. It introduced an ex-Hurricane-Ian "normalized" volume frame in Q2 FY2024, then a quarter later grew "somewhat hesitant to provide, quote, normalized growth trends that exclude the effect of storms" [73]. By fiscal 2026 the emphasis had shifted again — to units "excluding catastrophic activity" and to a "direct buy" referral model that removes low-value cars from reported purchased-unit counts, making reported U.S. purchase units fall 23.6% but "just 8% on a normalized basis" [74]. The headline growth figure and its basis moved together; each period's basis is worth reading before comparing it to the last.
Reading note: from fiscal 2026, Copart reports U.S. vs International segments and frequently cites volume growth "excluding catastrophic activity" or on a "normalized" basis. Period-over-period comparisons should confirm the basis, which has changed more than once.
Control, Operators, and Incentives
Copart is a founder-shaped company that has never carried a founder's control mechanics. Co-founder Willis J. Johnson has chaired the board since January 2004 and helped build the business from a single salvage yard in 1982 [1]; longtime executive A. Jayson Adair ran the company for years and now sits as Executive Chairman; Jeffrey Liaw became sole Chief Executive Officer in April 2024 after two years as co-CEO [2]. Yet the company has a single class of common stock, one vote per share, and a majority-voting standard for director elections [3]. There is no super-voting wedge: the founders' influence rests on the same shares every other holder owns, and the largest voting blocks are index managers, not insiders.
The incentive architecture is the more distinctive fact. Copart pays its most senior people almost entirely in stock options — Adair on a $1.00 salary — and layers a premium-price hurdle on top of ordinary vesting [4]. What that design does to alignment, and where the current price leaves those strikes, is the substance of this tab. This tab records the structure; the chapters weigh it.
Control: votes track economics one-for-one
Source: 2025 Proxy Statement, Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management (ownership as of Oct 10, 2025; percentages of 967,834,374 shares outstanding) [5].
Because every share carries one vote, the "% Economics" and "% Votes" columns are identical [6]. The two founders together hold roughly 8.9% of the vote — meaningful influence, but well short of control — while the largest single voting blocks are Vanguard (10.24%) and BlackRock (6.01%) [7]. All directors and officers as a group held 9.60% [8]. A minority holder here is not structurally boxed out by a control class; the practical constraints are the founders' block, the concentration of votes in a few index managers, and a board on which the two founders and the CEO are not independent.
Founder votes (Johnson + Adair, %)
All insiders as a group (%)
Shares outstanding (M)
Source: 2025 Proxy Statement, Security Ownership table and the voting Q-and-A (single class, one vote per share) [9] [10].
One control-adjacent fact sits outside the ownership table. In September 2025 the board granted Johnson a waiver of the company's anti-pledging policy, allowing him to pledge up to 20% of the shares he beneficially owns as collateral for personal loans [11]. The same policy otherwise prohibits officers and directors from short sales, exchange-traded options, hedging, and pledging company stock as collateral [12].
Board and committees
The board has twelve members; nine are designated independent under Nasdaq rules, and the roles of Chairman, Executive Chairman, and CEO are held by three different people [13]. Daniel J. Englander serves as Lead Independent Director [14]. The three standing committees are composed entirely of independent directors [15].
Sources: 2025 Proxy Statement — director biographies and independence determination [16]; committee rosters [17] [18]. Ages as of Oct 24, 2025. NGS = Nominating, Governance, and Sustainability.
Two observed facts sit alongside the independence designations. First, tenure is long: five of the twelve directors have served since 2012 or earlier, and two independent directors — Cohan (a former Copart officer, 1992–1996) and Meeks (a salvage-industry executive whose daughter the company employs, noted below) — carry historical ties to the company or its founders [19]. Second, the board met five times in fiscal 2025, and each committee is independent-only [20]. The Audit Committee, chaired by Cohan, includes two designated financial experts (Cohan and Morefield) [21]. Ernst & Young LLP is the independent auditor, put to a ratification vote as a matter of good corporate practice [22].
Operators: a settled leadership team
Sources: 2025 Proxy Statement — director and executive-officer biographies [23] [24] [25].
Succession has been orderly rather than abrupt. Liaw joined as President and CFO, became President and CEO for North America, then co-CEO in April 2022, and sole CEO in April 2024 as Adair moved to Executive Chairman [26]. The CFO seat has been held by Leah C. Stearns — previously CFO of CBRE Group and of American Tower's U.S. division — since December 2022, a single, stable tenure rather than the revolving door seen at some peers [27].
Incentive architecture: options with a premium-price hurdle
Copart's compensation philosophy is explicit and unusual: the Compensation Committee has paid its most senior executives "almost exclusively" through loaded, multi-year stock-option awards since 2009, settling pay several years at a time rather than negotiating annually [28]. Adair, the Executive Chairman, draws a $1.00 annual salary [29]. Liaw's package was roughly 74% stock options by value in fiscal 2022, and he is not eligible for any new equity award until April 2026; in the interim he receives a salary and a bonus [30].
Two design features govern how that equity pays out:
Vesting. Since June 2020, executive option grants vest 20% on the first anniversary, then 1/60 monthly, reaching full vesting on the fifth anniversary [31].
Premium-price hurdle. For every NEO grant since June 2020, at least half the award value carries a condition that the options cannot be exercised unless the stock trades at 125% of the exercise price both at exercise and across the trailing 20 consecutive trading days [32].
The annual cash bonus is separate: in fiscal 2025 it was weighted 60% to an operating-income target and 40% to personal goals [33]. The company reported roughly $1.7 billion of operating income, producing a 99% payout on the operating-income component and 100% on personal goals for both Liaw and Stearns; no new equity was granted in fiscal 2025 [34].
Fiscal 2025 named-executive pay
Source: 2025 Proxy Statement, Summary Compensation Table (fiscal year ended July 31, 2025) [35]. Adair's "All Other Comp" is largely security-mandated corporate-aircraft use; neither Adair nor Liaw received new equity grants in fiscal 2025.
The fiscal 2025 numbers understate the true pay-for-performance mechanics because the largest awards were granted in prior years and no fresh equity was issued in the period [36]. Adair's $432,172 total is almost entirely "all other compensation" — the Compensation Committee requires him and Liaw to use corporate aircraft for all travel, including personal, for security reasons [37]. The CEO-to-median-employee pay ratio was 46 to 1 for fiscal 2025 [38].
Where the strikes sit against the price
Sources: strikes, hurdles, and share counts from the 2025 Proxy Statement, Outstanding Equity Awards at 2025 Fiscal Year End [39]; current price from the company price feed, as reported. Option counts combine exercisable and unexercisable/unearned tranches per grant.
Against a share price of about $29 at the end of July 2026, the picture splits by vintage. The older grants — Adair's $21.26 and Liaw's $14.57 — are in the money and above their 125% hurdles [40]. The most recent executive grants are not: Liaw's April 2022 tranche at $31.42 and Stearns' December 2022 grant at $32.85 are below the current price, and their premium hurdles ($39.28 and $41.06) are well above it [41]. The same drawdown reaches the board: the fiscal 2025 director option grant carried a $62.08 strike — the December 6, 2024 closing price — roughly double the current level [42]. The most recently granted equity across executives and directors is presently underwater.
Directors are paid mainly through annual option grants struck at the meeting-date price, with a seven-year term, and are held to an equity-ownership policy requiring holdings worth at least three times their cash retainer [43].
Insider activity: exercises, gifts, and sales — no open-market buys
Across the roughly twenty-one months from October 2024 through July 2026, Form 4 activity ran in one direction. Directors and officers exercised long-dated options and sold into the market; several made gift transfers; there were no open-market purchases.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings, October 2024–July 2026 (aggregated); values are open-market sale proceeds as reported on Form 4.
Two features are worth flagging without interpretation. Liaw's selling was conducted under Rule 10b5-1 trading plans and consisted of exercising deep-in-the-money options and selling a portion of the resulting shares [44]. Stearns, the CFO, recorded grants but no sales in the window. The absence of any open-market purchases is normal for an option-heavy company but is a fact the reader should have.
Related-party ledger
Source: 2025 Proxy Statement, Related Person Transactions (fiscal 2025 through Oct 24, 2025) [45].
The disclosed related-party items are two family-employment relationships. Brett Adair, brother of the Executive Chairman, was paid $410,905 in fiscal 2025 ($250,405 salary plus a $160,000 bonus) in a non-executive role, with a monthly auto allowance and occasional personal aircraft use as a guest [46]. Diane Yassa, daughter of director James E. Meeks, was paid $326,993 ($241,993 salary plus an $85,000 bonus) in a non-executive role [47]. Both were reviewed and approved by the Audit Committee, which pre-clears related-person transactions above $120,000 [48].
Officer and director docket
The proxy discloses one Section 16(a) delinquency: a Form 4 reporting certain gift transfers by A. Jayson Adair, due January 8, 2025, was not filed until October 16, 2025 [49]. Separately, the September 2025 anti-pledging waiver granted to Johnson stands as a board-approved exception to the company's general prohibition on pledging stock [50]. Beyond these items, the proxy discloses no material litigation, regulatory proceeding, investigation, or sanction touching current officers or directors. For how the operating model these people run actually makes money, see Business; for the multi-year said-versus-did and capital-allocation record, see History.
The numbers behind Copart, Inc.: as-reported financial statements and company metrics for FY2021–FY2025, traced to the source filings, opened with the share-price history those statements have to justify. Every linked figure opens the exact page of the filing it was printed on, with the statement row highlighted. Amounts in US$ thousands unless noted.
Reading notes: All figures are as reported in Copart's SEC filings, in thousands of U.S. dollars (the scale printed on the face of the statements). Fiscal year ends July 31. FY2023-FY2025 columns are cited to the FY2025 Form 10-K (3-year income and cash-flow statements; 2-year balance sheet). FY2021-FY2022 income and cash-flow figures are comparative columns of the FY2023 Form 10-K; the FY2021 balance sheet is from the FY2021 Form 10-K. Copart executed a 2-for-1 common stock split effective November 2021; per-share and share-count figures for FY2021-FY2022 shown here are the split-adjusted figures as restated in the FY2023 Form 10-K. The FY2021 balance sheet (filed pre-split) shows pre-split share counts, so no share-count row is drawn from it. The FY2023 and earlier 10-Ks label facility costs 'Yard operations'; the FY2024/FY2025 10-Ks relabel the same line 'Facility operations'. The row uses the current label; each cited quote preserves the label printed on its source page.
Share Price — Full Available History — 32 Years
The stock closed at $29.12 on Jul 31, 2026 — up 1,834,953% over the window shown (+35.4% a year), trading between $0.00 and $63.84. At that close the stock trades at 18× FY2025 diluted EPS as reported below.
Source: market price feed, monthly closes, sampled from 8,148 source observations, Mar 1994–Jul 2026. Price return only, excludes dividends. Prices are split-adjusted (1:2 on Jan 29, 1999; 1:2 on Jan 25, 2000; ×1.5 on Jan 22, 2002; 1:2 on Mar 29, 2012; 1:2 on Apr 11, 2017; 1:2 on Nov 04, 2022; 1:2 on Aug 22, 2023).
Market capitalization $28.5bn.
Market cap = 977.6M shares outstanding × the Jul 31, 2026 close of $29.12. Market-derived, shown without filing links.
FY2025 at a Glance
Revenue (US$ thousands)
Operating income (US$ thousands)
Net income (US$ thousands)
Diluted EPS
Source: FY2025 consolidated statements [1] [2]. Click any linked figure to open the filing page with the row highlighted.
Revenue by Type
| Revenue by Type | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Service revenues | 2,291,867 | 2,853,040 | 3,198,128 | 3,561,002 | 3,968,662 |
| Vehicle sales | 400,644 | 647,881 | 671,390 | 675,821 | 678,296 |
| Total service revenues and vehicle sales | 2,692,511 | 3,500,921 | 3,869,518 | 4,236,823 | 4,646,958 |
| Total service revenues and vehicle sales growth, derived | — | +30.0% | +10.5% | +9.5% | +9.7% |
Source: Consolidated Statements of Income — service revenues and vehicle sales [1] [2]. Click any linked figure to open the filing page with the row highlighted.
Segment Results by Geography
| Segment Results by Geography | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States revenue | 2,272,072 | 2,945,150 | 3,189,648 | 3,464,735 | 3,855,104 |
| International revenue | 420,439 | 555,771 | 679,870 | 772,088 | 791,854 |
| Total revenue | 2,692,511 | 3,500,921 | 3,869,518 | 4,236,823 | 4,646,958 |
| United States operating income | 1,023,555 | 1,247,569 | 1,368,097 | 1,428,034 | 1,480,886 |
| International operating income | 112,871 | 127,428 | 118,472 | 143,989 | 215,828 |
| Total operating income | 1,136,426 | 1,374,997 | 1,486,569 | 1,572,023 | 1,696,714 |
Source: Note 14 — Segments and Other Geographic Reporting [3] [4]. Click any linked figure to open the filing page with the row highlighted.
Income Statement
Source: Consolidated Statements of Income [1] [2]. Click any linked figure to open the filing page with the row highlighted.
Columns marked E are consensus analyst estimates from S&P Capital IQ (CapIQ), shown alongside reported results for direct comparison; they are not company guidance.
Estimate source: S&P Capital IQ (CapIQ) consensus, as of 2026-08-03. Estimate figures are S&P Capital IQ consensus (vendor data — no filing page links). EPS and net income use the normalized (adjusted) consensus where the street reports it. Line-item analyst models (segments, drivers, KPIs) are in the Visible Alpha tab.
Balance Sheet
Source: Consolidated Balance Sheets [5] [6] [7]. Click any linked figure to open the filing page with the row highlighted.
Cash Flow
Source: Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows [8] [9]. Click any linked figure to open the filing page with the row highlighted.
Long-Term Record
| Fiscal year | Total revenue | Operating income | Net income attributable to Copart, Inc. | Net cash provided by operating activities | Total stockholders’ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2016 | 1,268,449 | 406,470 | 270,360 | — | 774,456 |
| FY2017 | 1,447,981 | 461,299 | 394,227 | 492,058 | 1,098,600 |
| FY2018 | 1,805,695 | 584,345 | 417,867 | 535,069 | 1,581,099 |
| FY2019 | 2,041,957 | 716,475 | 591,693 | 646,646 | 1,778,381 |
| FY2020 | 2,205,583 | 816,099 | 699,907 | 917,885 | 2,489,516 |
| FY2021 | 2,692,511 | 1,136,426 | 936,495 | 990,891 | 3,529,201 |
| FY2022 | 3,500,921 | 1,374,997 | 1,090,130 | 1,176,683 | 4,625,599 |
| FY2023 | 3,869,518 | 1,486,569 | 1,237,741 | 1,364,210 | 5,987,440 |
| FY2024 | 4,236,823 | 1,572,023 | 1,363,020 | 1,472,564 | 7,524,011 |
| FY2025 | 4,646,958 | 1,696,714 | 1,552,449 | 1,799,750 | 9,187,033 |
Source: consolidated statements across filings; older years from the standardized feed [8] [1] [5] [9]. Click any linked figure to open the filing page with the row highlighted.
Analyst Consensus
Mean target
Median target
High target
Low target
Street ratings: 5 strong buy, 2 buy, 5 hold, 1 sell. Consensus: Buy.
Estimate source: S&P Capital IQ (CapIQ) consensus, as of 2026-08-03. Estimate figures are S&P Capital IQ consensus (vendor data — no filing page links). EPS and net income use the normalized (adjusted) consensus where the street reports it. Line-item analyst models (segments, drivers, KPIs) are in the Visible Alpha tab.
Traceability
303 of 318 figures on this page (95%) link to the filing page where they are printed — click a linked figure to open the source PDF at that page with the row highlighted. Unlinked figures come from standardized data feeds or pre-filing years.
All figures are as reported in Copart's SEC filings, in thousands of U.S. dollars (the scale printed on the face of the statements). Fiscal year ends July 31.
FY2023-FY2025 columns are cited to the FY2025 Form 10-K (3-year income and cash-flow statements; 2-year balance sheet). FY2021-FY2022 income and cash-flow figures are comparative columns of the FY2023 Form 10-K; the FY2021 balance sheet is from the FY2021 Form 10-K.
Copart executed a 2-for-1 common stock split effective November 2021; per-share and share-count figures for FY2021-FY2022 shown here are the split-adjusted figures as restated in the FY2023 Form 10-K. The FY2021 balance sheet (filed pre-split) shows pre-split share counts, so no share-count row is drawn from it.
The FY2023 and earlier 10-Ks label facility costs 'Yard operations'; the FY2024/FY2025 10-Ks relabel the same line 'Facility operations'. The row uses the current label; each cited quote preserves the label printed on its source page.
Long-Term Record: FY2019-FY2025 are cited to the filings; FY2016-FY2018 (and FY2016 operating cash flow, FY2016-FY2019 stockholders' equity) are from the standardized SEC/XBRL data feed and are shown without page links. Diluted EPS is omitted from the long-term record because pre-FY2021 feed EPS is on a pre-split basis and not comparable.
Copart pays no dividends and reports two geographic operating segments (United States and International); it has been effectively debt-free since repaying its term loan in fiscal 2022.
Copart, Inc.'s management answers for the business every quarter. These are the exchanges that explain it best — verbatim, from the call transcripts preserved in Sources. Each link opens the full transcript at that page in a new tab.
Q3 FY2026 Earnings Call — Q3 FY2026
Copart's clearest recent walk-through of its own growth algorithm — total-loss frequency, international and crossover buyers, pure-sale liquidity, and the whole-car runway. · Open the full transcript →
The growth algorithm: modest accident-frequency declines more than offset by rising total-loss frequency Copart itself helps drive.
Jeffrey Liaw (CEO): We believe the long-term growth algorithm for our insurance business remains very much intact, that over many years, we've observed modest gradual declines in accident frequency, which are then more than offset by increases in total loss frequency. Total loss frequency is, in turn, a function of everrising repair costs, but more importantly, the differentiated returns that Copart generates by finding the highest and best use for a car globally, which is often full restoration back to roadworthiness.
p. 1 · Read in context →
The crossover-buyer journey: arrive for a whole car, then migrate outward in concentric circles into insurance salvage.
Jeffrey Liaw (CEO), replying to Jash Patwa (JPMorgan): And naturally, it's often the first car you explore Copart is one that could theoretically be driven off a Copart lot or close to it. Those are the cars that most intrigue them at the outset. Then when they begin bidding, when they begin engaging on the platform, they discover that there's an insurance vehicle that was a theft recovery, perhaps it was never damaged at all, that might be in their sweet spot as well. […] So you can imagine that a given buyer comes for one type of car and then once he or she realizes the breadth of inventory available to them, they migrate outward in concentric circles from that Lexus to other insurance Lexuses, then to Toyotas, then to BMWs, then to cars further away geographically from where they originated.
p. 7 · Read in context →
Sizing the whole-car runway: a 15 million-plus annual non-insurance TAM Copart earns its way into over time.
Jeffrey Liaw (CEO), replying to John Healy (Northcoast Research): So eventually, the total addressable market, when you consider all of the auction-mediated vehicles that are not from insurance companies in the United States, that's 15 million plus. Not all of them are day-one addressable for us. But as total loss frequency rises and as we earn the right to sell more of those cars from the noninsurance sellers, with each passing year we earn the right to sell more of those cars as well.
p. 8 · Read in context →
Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call — Q4 FY2025 (full year)
The annual call, framed around the moat: 'uniquely digital, uniquely global' auction liquidity, plus the capital-allocation and technology playbook. · Open the full transcript →
The liquidity moat: online since 2003, ~300,000 global members, with international buyers ~40% of units and nearly half of proceeds.
Jeff Liaw (CEO): First, I would note that Copart's auction is uniquely digital. We have been exclusively an online auction platform since 2003, almost two decades before our competitors followed suit and only when they were compelled to do so by the COVID-19 crisis. By extension, we are also uniquely global. We have some 300,000 paying registered members at Copart from virtually every non-sanctioned country around the world. The result of that is unmatched global breadth. International members account for approximately 40% of all vehicles sold at Copart's U.S. auctions, comprising almost half of auction proceeds because international buyers generally purchase vehicles that are more valuable than those acquired by domestic buyers.
p. 2 · Read in context →
No concentration risk in demand — the top 10 buyers together are only a low-single-digit share of U.S. volume.
Jeff Liaw (CEO): As context, the top 10 individual buyers of vehicles at Copart collectively purchased a low single-digit percentage of all the vehicles we sell at U.S. auctions. The nature of the vehicle wholesaler and rebuilder economy is of frequent disruptions, exits, and new business formations. And we invest in the resource to ensure that we continue to maintain a deep pool of demand for our vehicles.
p. 2 · Read in context →
Why EVs help the model: perimeter sensors and calibrations make them total more easily, with strong auction returns.
Jeff Liaw (CEO), replying to Bob Labick (CJS Securities): In broad strokes, the returns on EVs are very strong. They total, if anything, more easily. But I think that's in part because of all the technology tends to come with it. So I don't know that it's the battery necessarily or the drivetrain. But electric vehicles tend to have next-gen sensors on the perimeter of the vehicle, tend to have the adaptive headlights, rear cameras, lane departure sensors, etcetera. Make your car pretty easily totaled because of any kind of damage on the perimeter often requires advanced calibrations and reprogramming and so forth.
p. 5 · Read in context →
Capital allocation: buybacks as the long-run return mechanism; M&A only if they'd 'write our own personal checks.'
Jeff Liaw (CEO), replying to John Healy (Northcoast Research): What I would tell you is that over the long haul, say over the course of the past ten years or so, we have consistently returned cash to shareholders via buybacks. […] we have a twopronged approach to any M and A activity. One is, is the investments on a standalone basis itself compelling? Meaning if John, Leah and I, you and Leah and I were sitting here in a room, we would we be willing to write our own personal checks in support of a given investment if we were to hold it as a private company? And then the second question is, does it enhance fundamentally what Copart is?
p. 6 · Read in context →
Q1 FY2025 Earnings Call — Q1 FY2025
The definitive long-term bull case — a four-factor framework for organic growth — set against Copart's back-to-back Hurricane Helene and Milton response. · Open the full transcript →
Back-to-back Hurricanes Helene and Milton: ~2x Ian's 10-day pickup pace, and 3 of 4 Florida CAT units sold on Copart.
Jeff Liaw (CEO): In comparison to Hurricane Ian, a similarly scaled and located storm from just two years ago, our advanced preparation and our team's execution this time around yielded even better results, with approximately twice as many vehicles picked up in the first 10 days of these 2024 storms in comparison to Ian in 2022. […] In fact, according to one third-party source, three out of every four catastrophic units sold in Florida during the month of October were sold on Copart's auction platform, reflecting both our presence as well as the speed of our execution.
p. 1 · Read in context →
The crux of the bull case: safety tech that cuts accidents is 'directly causal' to total-loss frequency — up fourfold since 1990.
Jeff Liaw (CEO): The fourth and most important driver of our business is total loss frequency itself, which has been the key catalyst of our growth now for decades and it's grown more than fourfold since 1990. […] But the proliferation of these technologies is not incidenta to total loss frequency; it is directly causal. These technologies tend to be enabled by sensors and chips, often configured on the perimeter of vehicles, rendering them quickly and easily damaged in an accident, thus raising the cost of repair as a result.
p. 2 · Read in context →
The 20-year baseline: population, miles driven and total-loss frequency more than offset declining accident frequency.
Jeff Liaw (CEO): The upshot of everything I've discussed toda is that as we look forward over five, ten, and even twenty years, our baseline expectation continues to be ongoing organic industry growth. As the trends of population growth, vehicle miles traveled, and total loss frequency most importantly more than offset the declining accident frequency as safety technologies penetrate new vehicle shipments and eventually the larger drivable fleet.
p. 2 · Read in context →
How insurers decide to total a car — from a statutory damage threshold to claim-by-claim economic underwriting.
Jeff Liaw (CEO), replying to Bob Labick (CJS Securities): So at one end of the spectrum, you'll have folks who if anything, still have the statutory mindset, for lack of a better expression, which is to say that in certain states, if damage exceeds X percent of the intact value of the car, by statute, a carrier must offer the policyholder a total loss, at least as an option. […] Others are adopting a more like individual underwriting, so to speak, on an individual claim. So a claim comes in, what is the repair cost for this claim? How long will it take? What will the rental charges be on this repair, while it's in the shop? How much can we generate for that car at Copart instead? And then make an individual economic decision?
p. 5 · Read in context →
Q1 FY2022 Earnings Call — Q1 FY2022
A window into the 2021 used-car-price boom that briefly suppressed total-loss frequency — and Copart's CAT response and export thesis under that stress. · Open the full transcript →
The catastrophe playbook after Hurricane Ida: years of investment in land, trucks, drivers and a dedicated CAT team.
Jeffrey Liaw (President & CEO, North America): Having learned from those experiences and a litany of catastrophic events between then and now, we were better prepared for this event than any in our history, due to our very substantial investment over the years in land, in technology, in company-owned trucks, company employed drivers, heavy equipment and most importantly our dedicated CAT team who deployed at a moment's notice.
p. 4 · Read in context →
The mechanism stated plainly: total-loss frequency is negatively correlated with used-car prices — set to reverse as prices fall.
Jeffrey Liaw (President & CEO, North America): The important note here is that if and when used car prices do fall, we expect a corresponding increase in assignment volumes. Total loss frequency is negatively correlated with used car prices. The more a car is worth before the accident, the more prone it is to being repaired.
p. 6 · Read in context →
During the used-car boom total-loss frequency was 'impaired'; rising repair and rental costs are what tip it back.
Jeffrey Liaw (President & CEO, North America), replying to Bob Labick (CJS Securities): I think your statement is accurate and the total loss frequency I think had been impaired all else equal, because of high used car prices. And your question as to then, what tips the balance in the other direction? I think it is a combination of repair costs as well as rental car costs. The repair pack, so to speak, for an insurance carrier is also onerous and expense – is onerous and expensive today relative to what it was two years ago.
p. 13 · Read in context →
The multi-decade export thesis: fast-growing, car-poor economies keep pulling U.S. salvage abroad — 'a 50-year trend.'
Jeffrey Liaw (President & CEO, North America), replying to Daniel Imbro (Stephens): if you compare long-term GDP growth rates and have that on one axis, on the other axis have vehicles per capita, the very fastest-growing economies in the world tend to be the ones with a fewest cars and vice versa. […] And so there will be a 50-year trend of more of our used, wrecked, damaged vehicles moving overseas where they are meaningful contributors to economic and physical mobility there.
p. 19 · Read in context →
More calls
Q2 FY2026 Earnings Call — Q2 FY2026 · 10 pages · The February 2026 read on insurance-volume softness (global units down ~9%, ~4% excluding prior-year catastrophe units) and management's cyclical-not-secular framing of the pullback. · Open →
Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call — Q1 FY2026 · 11 pages · Fiscal 2026's opening call, with a dedicated walk-through of the key drivers behind Copart's auction returns alongside early-year insurance and non-insurance trends. · Open →
Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call — Q3 FY2025 · 9 pages · A clean read on rising total-loss frequency (22.8% in the U.S.) against roughly flat insurance unit volume, once adjusted for the extra leap-year day. · Open →
Q2 FY2025 Earnings Call — Q2 FY2025 · 9 pages · Management details the 'proactive levers' it controls — including AI-enabled image-recognition tools that help insurers total cars more accurately and vertical service extensions. · Open →
Q4 FY2024 Earnings Call — Q4 FY2024 (full year) · 10 pages · The FY2024 wrap: how declining used-vehicle values feed assignment growth, with insurance seller volume up about 6% for the year. · Open →
Q3 FY2024 Earnings Call — Q3 FY2024 · 9 pages · Color on the 24th Annual U.S. Insurance Advisory Board and how client feedback shapes Copart's service offerings and technology deployments. · Open →
Q2 FY2024 Earnings Call — Q2 FY2024 · 9 pages · Management works through year-over-year catastrophe comparability (Hurricane Ian) and introduces recent senior-leadership additions. · Open →
Q1 FY2024 Earnings Call — Q1 FY2024 · 12 pages · The clearest telling of total-loss frequency rebounding off its 2022 used-car-boom trough (~17%) back toward 19%-plus. · Open →
Copart, Inc.'s annual reports contain management's most considered account of the business. These are the sections, passages and visual pages worth opening in the originals preserved in Sources.
Copart, Inc. — FY2025 Annual Report (Form 10-K) — FY2025 (year ended July 31, 2025)
Latest 10-K: lays out the online salvage-auction model, the total-loss economics that feed it, and what drove a $4.6B revenue year. · Open the full document →
Item 1. Business — Overview — p. 4 · Read the full section →
Defines the business: a VB3 online auction where insurance companies (81% of volume) consign vehicles Copart sells mostly as agent.
Item 1. Business — Industry Overview — p. 8 · Read the full section →
The supply engine: how an insurer's repair-vs-total-loss math, pushed up by costlier modern vehicles, sends cars to salvage.
The adjuster's total-loss decision and why newer, complex vehicles are more often totaled.
Most of our vehicles are sold on behalf of insurance companies and are usually vehicles involved in an accident or a natural disaster. […] The adjuster determines whether to pay for repairs or to classify the vehicle as a total loss based upon the adjuster’s estimate of repair costs, vehicle’s salvage value, and the PAV, as well as customer service considerations. If the cost of repair is greater than the PAV less the estimated salvage value, the insurance company generally will classify the vehicle as a total loss. […] We believe that one effect of these additional features is that newer vehicles involved in accidents are more costly to repair and, accordingly, more likely to be deemed a total loss for insurance purposes.
p. 10 · Read in context →
Item 1A. Risk Factors — p. 30 · Read the full section →
The two risks most specific to a land-and-logistics salvage network — storage capacity and third-party haulers.
Storage capacity can fill after catastrophes — Hurricanes Helene and Milton constrained facilities.
Capacity at our storage facilities varies from period to period and from region to region. For example, following adverse weather conditions in a particular area, our facilities in that area may fill and limit our ability to accept additional salvage vehicles while we process existing inventories. For example, Hurricanes Helene and Milton had, in certain quarters, an adverse effect on our operating results, in part because of facility capacity constraints in the impacted areas of the U.S.
p. 33 · Read in context →
Dependence on independent subhaulers and fuel costs the company may not pass through.
We rely primarily upon independent subhaulers to pick up and deliver vehicles to and from our storage facilities in the U.S., Canada, Brazil, the Republic of Ireland, Germany, Finland, the U.A.E., Oman, Bahrain, and Spain. […] Further, an increase in fuel cost may lead to increased prices charged by our independent subhaulers, which may significantly increase our cost. We may not be able to pass these costs on to our sellers or buyers.
p. 36 · Read in context →
Item 5. Market for Registrant's Common Equity — p. 55 · Read the full section →
Capital-return posture: no dividend ever, and an authorized buyback left untouched for three straight years while cash builds.
Item 7. MD&A — Key Financial Performance Measures — p. 60 · Read the full section →
Management's own framework for reading results: total-loss frequency, auction selling price, and a steadily aging car fleet.
Item 7. MD&A — Results of Operations — p. 63 · Read the full section →
What actually moved FY2025: mix stayed ~85% service revenue, and hurricane response added real cost.
Facility costs up 13.7%, including $56M of one-time CAT costs from Hurricanes Helene and Milton.
The increase in facility operations expenses for fiscal 2025 of $234.2 million, or 13.7% as compared to fiscal 2024 resulted from (i) an increase in the U.S. of $205.5 million, and (ii) an increase in International of $28.8 million. The increase in the U.S. compared to the same period last year related to an increase in volume and in non-CAT related subhaul, labor, and facility costs combined with one time CAT costs of $56 million associated with Hurricanes Helene and Milton.
p. 64 · Read in context →
Item 7. MD&A — Liquidity and Capital Resources — p. 68 · Read the full section →
The cash machine: ~$1.8B operating cash flow and a cash pile up 84% year over year, largely unspent.
Item 7. MD&A — Critical Accounting Policies: Revenue Recognition — p. 72 · Read the full section →
The policy that defines the model — consigned cars aren't owned, so fees book net (not gross vehicle price).
More annual reports
Copart, Inc. — FY2024 Annual Report (Form 10-K) — FY2024 (year ended July 31, 2024) · 129 pages · Prior year: Purple Wave heavy-equipment acquisition and the ramp of International facilities. · Open →
Copart, Inc. — FY2023 Annual Report (Form 10-K) — FY2023 (year ended July 31, 2023) · 119 pages · Peak used-car-price year and heavy U.S. facility expansion (eight new locations). · Open →
Copart, Inc. — FY2022 Annual Report (Form 10-K) — FY2022 (year ended July 31, 2022) · 129 pages · Hills Motors green-parts acquisition and the U.K. principal-basis expansion. · Open →
Copart, Inc. — FY2021 Annual Report (Form 10-K) — FY2021 (year ended July 31, 2021) · 140 pages · Pandemic-era baseline: lower driving miles pressured volume before the later selling-price surge. · Open →
Competitors describe Copart, Inc.'s market in their own filings and calls. These verified passages and visual pages show where their strategies meet, using source documents preserved in Sources.
RB Global, Inc. (IAA / Insurance Auto Auctions) (RBA)
IAA, owned by RB Global, is Copart's single most direct competitor — the #2 US platform in the insurance-salvage vehicle auction market Copart leads, running the same model: online bidding, an international buyer base, catastrophe-surge capacity, and total-loss vehicles consigned by insurance carriers. Only the Automotive (IAA) segment is in scope; RB Global's Ritchie Bros. heavy-equipment and commercial-truck auction business is a separate market and is excluded. The FY2024/FY2025 annual-report files indexed for RBA contain only financial statements and notes, so the competitive narrative is drawn from the earnings calls.
IAA's parent describes a 2026 rollout of an "IAA Total Loss Predictor" to route a vehicle from the accident scene to the most appropriate destination — a yard or a repair facility — positioned as an upstream, carrier-integration play to capture share and deepen partner lock-in. The "billions of dollars are lost annually" framing is management's own characterization of the addressable inefficiency. This collides directly with Copart's own insurer-integration and upstream total-loss strategy.
James (Jim) Kessler, CEO, prepared remarks (Q4 2025 earnings call): The more effectively we communicate and demonstrate our value proposition upstream of the transaction, the better positioned we should be to capture additional market share. In automotive, this means enabling our partners to optimize the vehicle towing to the most appropriate destination, whether that is one of our yards or a repair facility. Across the industry, billions of dollars are lost annually due to inefficient vehicle routing after an accident. In 2026, we plan to provide another innovative tool to help address this gap with the upstream rollout of IAA Total Loss Predictor, designed to enable dynamic vehicle routing and is expected to deliver meaningful cost savings and operational efficiencies for our partners. […] we view it as a foundational capability that will strengthen partner economics and increase our long-term stickiness.
p. 2 · Read in context →
RB Global's CFO cites third-party CCC Intelligent Solutions data putting industry total-loss frequency at 23.6% (up 70 bps year-over-year), attributing the secular rise to the gap between repair costs and used-vehicle prices. The 24.2% and 22.6% prints in the prior two quarters bracket the same trend. This is the same structural volume tailwind Copart benefits from, read here from an external source cited by a rival.
Eric Guerin, CFO, prepared remarks (Q1 2026 earnings call): In recent months, the inflation differential between automotive repair costs and used-vehicle prices has widened slightly, which continues to support an increase in the total-loss ratio. CCC Intelligent Solutions estimates the total loss frequency across all categories increased by 70 basis points to 23.6% compared to the prior year period.
p. 2 · Read in context →
IAA management claims a fifth consecutive quarter of unit-volume outperformance versus the broader market and targets "net market-share gains" in 2026, while acknowledging a "competitive market" and adopting selectivity on volume. The share claims are management's own; note the quarter's headline automotive unit growth was just 1%, which tempers the framing.
James (Jim) Kessler, CEO, prepared remarks (Q1 2026 earnings call): Unit volumes increased 1% year-over-year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of outperformance relative to the broader market. […] We remain confident in our goal of delivering net market-share gains in 2026, as our focus on driving tangible P&L value for our partners continues to resonate and differentiate our platform. Importantly, in a competitive market, we will remain selective in pursuing volumes. We are prioritizing partners that align with our culture
p. 1 · Read in context →
OPENLANE, Inc. (formerly KAR Auction Services / ADESA) (OPLN)
OPENLANE is the largest pure-digital wholesale used-vehicle marketplace (dealer-to-dealer plus commercial/off-lease consignment) and the cleanest public read on the size and digitization of the whole-car wholesale market Copart's non-insurance business competes in. As former KAR Auction Services it once owned both IAA and ADESA before spinning off IAA (2019) and selling ADESA's US physical auctions (2022), leaving today's asset-light digital model. Exhibits are drawn from its 10-K and earnings calls.
OPENLANE (management estimate, FY2025 Form 10-K, Item 1 Business) sizes the US and Canadian wholesale used-vehicle market at approximately 15 million vehicles a year, split between the commercial (off-lease and fleet) and dealer-to-dealer markets, and argues digitization can expand it. This is the whole-car wholesale pool Copart's non-insurance business competes for — a separate, larger arena than the salvage/total-loss market that is Copart's core.
We believe the U.S. and Canadian wholesale used vehicle industry has a total addressable market of approximately 15 million vehicles, which can fluctuate depending on seasonality and a variety of other macro-economic and industry factors. This wholesale used vehicle industry consists of the commercial market (commercial sellers that sell to franchise and independent dealers) and the dealer-to dealer market (franchise and independent dealers that both buy and sell vehicles). The Company supports the majority of commercial off-lease sellers in North America with our SaaS-based technology, and we believe digital applications in general may provide an opportunity to expand the total addressable market for dealer-to-dealer transactions
p. 5 · Read in context →
OPENLANE (company-reported, FY2025 10-K) ran roughly 1.5 million wholesale transactions on $28.8 billion of GMV in 2025, monetized through buy and sell fees on both sides of the transaction and generally without taking title — an agency take-rate model closely analogous to Copart's. It is a benchmark for the digital-wholesale opportunity set, though Copart's total unit throughput is materially larger.
OPENLANE is a leading digital marketplace for wholesale used vehicles operating in the United States, Canada and Europe. Our technology and people connect the leading automotive manufacturers, dealers, rental companies, fleet operators, captive finance and lending institutions as buyers and sellers to facilitate approximately 1.5 million annual vehicle transactions with a gross merchandise value ("GMV") of $28.8 billion in 2025. GMV represents the total dollar value of vehicles sold through our marketplaces. […] We generate revenue through buy and sell fees charged to vehicle sellers and buyers on both sides of the transaction, as well as through the sale of value-added ancillary products and services […] For the majority of our transactions, we facilitate the transfer of ownership directly from seller to buyer and, generally, we do not take title to, or ownership of, vehicles sold through our marketplaces.
p. 4 · Read in context →
OPENLANE's CEO frames its buyer/seller fees as below those of physical auctions — "particularly compared to the leading brand" (Manheim) — citing a "long-term pricing opportunity," i.e. a digital cost advantage with room to raise take-rate as volume migrates online. Relevant to how Copart's whole-car fee structure and margin trajectory stack up against the physical incumbents.
Peter J. Kelly, CEO, Q&A response to Rajat Gupta (Q2 2025 earnings call): Our fees are definitely lower than many physical auctions, particularly compared to the leading brand, indicating a long-term pricing opportunity. In the short term, our main focus is on increasing volume, market share, net promoter scores, and customer adoption. […] Our customer base is experiencing double-digit growth in dealer-to-dealer volumes, sellers, and buyers. I noticed that the largest physical auction chain recently acquired two new physical auctions, so they seem to be continuing to invest in that space, while we are primarily focused on digital.
p. 8 · Read in context →
ACV Auctions Inc. (ACVA)
ACV runs a pure-play digital dealer-to-dealer wholesale auction marketplace — the online whole-car channel adjacent to Copart's own whole-car/wholesale auctions, built on the same physical-to-digital migration thesis Copart pioneered in salvage. Its explicitly named rivals are Manheim, ADESA and OPENLANE, not Copart, because ACV's supply is dealer trade-ins rather than insurance total-loss vehicles — a largely different pool. Exhibits are drawn from its 10-K and earnings calls.
ACV's CEO puts a number on the runway: by ACV's estimate roughly 70% of dealer-wholesale volume still transacts at physical auctions, with digital conversion its core growth lever. It is the same physical-to-digital shift Copart rides in salvage, here quantified for the dealer-wholesale pool that overlaps Copart's whole-car business.
George Chamoun, CEO, Q&A response to Andrew Boone (Q4 FY2025 earnings call): dealer wholesale is still largely driven by physical auctions, which account for 70% of the business. Our goal remains to shift more of this physical auction business to digital platforms, and we are seeing progress in that area due to our differentiated offerings.
p. 4 · Read in context →
ACV's FY2025 10-K lays out an integrated stack — online auction plus condition inspections and True360 reports, data/pricing tools (ACV MAX, ClearCar), ACV Transportation and ACV Capital financing. It mirrors the auction-plus-services moat Copart built in salvage (inspection/condition data, transport, buyer financing), applied to dealer wholesale.
We help dealers source and manage inventory and accurately price their vehicles as well as process payments, transfer titles, manage arbitrations, and finance and transport vehicles. […] Our comprehensive suite of services includes ACV Transportation, ACV Capital, and our Customer Assurance offerings […] Our True360 Reports are used by dealers and commercial partners to provide transparent vehicle information to potential buyers […] Our ACV MAX inventory management system enables dealers to accurately price their wholesale and retail inventory. More recently, we added ClearCar, an artificial intelligence-powered suite of tools for dealers to build and enhance their trade-in process.
p. 7 · Read in context →
LKQ Corporation (LKQ)
LKQ is the largest alternative/recycled auto-parts supplier and one of the biggest institutional buyers of salvage vehicles — it does not run auctions, it bids at them. Its disclosures corroborate, from the buyer's side, two things central to Copart's core salvage business: the concentration and pricing power of the salvage-auction operators, and the total-loss-versus-repairable economics that determine how many vehicles flow into salvage auctions. Exhibits are drawn from its 10-K and earnings calls.
LKQ, one of the largest buyers of salvage vehicles, tells its own investors that "a small number of companies control a large percentage of the salvage auction market," that it holds no contracts with those operators, and that a fee increase or loss of access would raise its costs — a candid buyer-side confirmation of the concentration and pricing power that underpin Copart's economics (FY2024 Form 10-K, Risk Factors).
Most of our wholesale recycled and a portion of our self service inventory is obtained from vehicles offered at salvage auctions that are owned and operated by third party companies. We do not typically have contracts with these auction companies. According to industry analysts, a small number of companies control a large percentage of the salvage auction market. If an auction company prohibited us from participating in its auctions, began competing with us, or significantly raised its fees, our business could be adversely affected through higher costs or the resulting potential inability to service our customers. Moreover, we face competition in the purchase of vehicles from direct competitors, rebuilders, exporters and other bidders. To the extent that the number of bidders increases, it may have the effect of increasing our cost of goods sold for wholesale recycled products.
p. 15 · Read in context →
LKQ's CEO spells out the estimate-cost-versus-used-car-value threshold that decides whether a damaged vehicle is repaired or "totaled out" — the exact mechanism governing how many vehicles feed salvage auctions. LKQ frames rising used-car values as a headwind (fewer total losses); the same swing is a tailwind to Copart's salvage supply, so the two read the driver as mirror images.
Justin Jude, President & CEO, Q&A response (Q1 FY2026 earnings call): The biggest benefit and the most real-time response that we get on improving repairable claims is on the used car side. So through Q1, used car prices went up 3.6%, 6.2% alone in March. If you think about the estimating process, as soon as an estimate is written, it's immediately compared to that used car value. If it's below the threshold, it turns into a repairable claim. If it's above the threshold, it gets totaled out. So when we see used car prices like in March grow 6.2%, that immediately reflects into the repairable claims.
p. 5 · Read in context →
LKQ describes its supply engine as buying total-loss vehicles "at regional salvage auctions" and bidding with proprietary software that sets a disciplined maximum bid against inventory and demand — a portrait of the sophisticated institutional demand on the other side of a Copart auction, whose input turns on "the percentage of damaged vehicles declared total losses" (FY2024 Form 10-K, Business).
We procure recycled products for our wholesale operations by dismantling total loss vehicles, typically acquired at regional salvage auctions, and inventorying the parts. The availability and pricing of the salvage vehicles we procure for our wholesale recycled products operations may be impacted by a variety of factors, including the production level of new vehicles and the percentage of damaged vehicles declared total losses. Our bidding specialists are equipped with a proprietary software application that allows them to compare the vehicles at salvage auctions against our current inventory levels, historical demand, and recent average selling prices to arrive at an estimated maximum bid.
p. 5 · Read in context →
CarMax, Inc. (KMX)
CarMax is the largest US used-vehicle retailer and also operates one of the largest US wholesale auctions (dealer-only, virtual since fiscal 2021), disposing of trade-ins that fail its retail standards. That wholesale-auction business overlaps Copart's whole-car wholesale, but only peripherally and structurally differently: CarMax auctions vehicles it owns outright, as principal, whereas Copart is a fee-based consignment agent for insurance sellers — hence two exhibits.
CarMax's wholesale auctions run a principal/inventory model: it buys ~1.1 million vehicles a year, retails about half, and sends the rest — cars it owns outright — to dealer-only auctions at a ~99% sell-through (10-K for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026). That is the structural opposite of Copart, which never takes title and instead auctions insurers' total-loss vehicles on consignment for a fee.
In fiscal 2026, we purchased approximately 1.1 million vehicles from consumers and dealers. […] Based on age, mileage or condition, approximately half of the vehicles acquired through our appraisal processes meet our retail standards. Those vehicles that do not meet our retail standards are sold to licensed dealers through our wholesale auctions. Unlike many other auto auctions, we own all the vehicles that we sell in our auctions, which allows us to maintain a high auction sales rate. This high sales rate, combined with dealer-friendly practices, makes our auctions an attractive source of vehicles for licensed dealers. […] For fiscal 2026, our average auction sales rate was approximately 99%.
p. 7 · Read in context →
CarMax states its wholesale auctions compete with other in-person and online auctions, predominantly sell older, higher-mileage vehicles, and have been "primarily conducted virtually" since fiscal 2021. The same 10-K/MD&A reports 538,203 wholesale units sold (down 1.1%) at about $974 gross profit per unit and, per the FY2026 calls, roughly $8,000 average selling price — an online whole-car auction an order of magnitude smaller than Copart's salvage throughput and skewed to aged trade-ins.
Our wholesale auctions compete with other automotive in-person and online auctions. These competitors auction vehicles of all ages, while CarMax’s auctions predominantly sell older, higher mileage vehicles. Since fiscal 2021, our wholesale auctions have primarily been conducted virtually.
p. 8 · Read in context →
Carvana Co. (CVNA)
Carvana is primarily an online used-vehicle retailer, but its 2022 acquisition of ADESA's US physical auction network and its ADESA Clear digital wholesale marketplace overlap Copart on whole-car wholesale — the weakest, most indirect link in this set. Carvana is repurposing much of the ADESA footprint toward retail reconditioning rather than scaling it as a standalone auction network, so two exhibits scope the overlap without overstating it.
Carvana's FY2025 10-K sizes the only Copart-comparable asset it owns: the 2022 ADESA US acquisition added 56 physical auction locations, of which 16 had been converted to reconditioning (IRC) capabilities by year-end 2025. Carvana is folding retail and wholesale into single sites — i.e. repurposing the physical auction network toward its retail business rather than scaling it as a salvage- or whole-car-auction platform like Copart.
Further, the acquisition of ADESA US Auction, LLC in 2022 provided us with 56 additional locations, which we have been building out to increase our reconditioning capacity and the number of inventory pools closer to customers. We are integrating ADESA sites to combine retail and wholesale capabilities within single locations over time, enhancing both retail production and wholesale disposition. As of December 31, 2025, 16 of these ADESA auction sites have been built out to provide IRC capabilities, and the remaining sites provide continued potential for further growth
p. 7 · Read in context →
Carvana's CEO maps the network: of 74 sites, 41 are labeled wholesale-only (the original 56 ADESA sites less 15 converted), plus ADESA Clear — its digital auction capability — now at 12 former inspection centers. The physical-yards-plus-online-auction structure is directly comparable to Copart's, and the FY2025 10-K reports its ADESA-powered wholesale marketplace transacted about 1.0 million units in 2025, though at far lower per-unit economics than Copart's insurance-salvage core.
Ernest Garcia, Chairman & CEO, Q&A response to Jeffrey Lick (Q3 2025 earnings call): In that graph, we've got 74 sites. We now have 41 that we label as wholesale only. That's the original 56 ADESA sites minus the 15 where we have added reconditioning capabilities. And so those 15 now represent both wholesale capable and retail capable sites. We have 6 sites that are just retail. Those are the 18 inspection centers that we had prior, minus the 12 where we've added ADESA Clear, which is a digital auction capability. And then we've got 27 that are both, which is the sum of the 12 inspection centers that have ADESA Clear plus the 15 integration sites where we've added reconditioning capabilities to ADESA. So we now have 27 sites where we're well positioned to handle any type of car very efficiently
p. 10 · Read in context →
More peer documents
Q3_FY2025 — 8 pages · CEO announces a ~35,000-vehicle annualized expansion of IAA's US GSA award into whole-car remarketing and fleet returns (p1), showing IAA extending beyond salvage into the whole-car disposition Copart also chases, and its stated reasons for the competitive win (buyer-base liquidity, national footprint). · Open →
Q2_FY2025 — 7 pages · CEO describes IAA's catastrophe-surge playbook — dedicated capacity plus overflow via a NASCAR partnership and Ritchie Bros. yards (p1) — which he calls a "sustainable competitive advantage," a direct parallel to Copart's CAT-response capability with insurers. · Open →
Q2_FY2025 — 11 pages · CEO Justin Jude (p9 Q&A) explains how state "right to appraisal" laws let consumers dispute total-loss valuations upward, pushing marginal cars back into repair rather than salvage — a regulatory lever on total-loss frequency, hence on Copart's salvage supply. · Open →
Source: S&P Capital IQ consensus via Xpressfeed · Generated 2026-08-03.
CapIQ
Copart's forward tape was cut hard through the winter — FY2027 revenue and normalized EPS both fell 5% to 7% over six months — but has been flat for the past three, so consensus looks to have found a floor. The company keeps beating on EPS even as revenue runs light of forecasts. The street models a broadly flat FY2026, then high-single-digit growth, though coverage past FY2027 thins to a handful of analysts. Ratings split evenly, five buys against five holds.
Revenue, FY2027E
EPS norm., FY2027E
EPS revision, six months
Street target, mean
Source: derived from vendor data.
The tape was cut through winter, then found a floor
The revision that matters happened between six and three months ago, when the FY2027 consensus stepped down sharply — revenue by about 4.9% and normalized EPS by about 6.6%. Since then both lines have barely moved, which reads less like a deteriorating story and more like estimates resetting to a level the street is now willing to hold.
Source: derived from vendor data.
EPS keeps beating while revenue runs light
Copart has beaten normalized EPS consensus in six of the past eight quarters, missing only twice — a big shortfall in 4Q FY2024 and again in 2Q FY2026. The biggest beat was 13.3% in 4Q FY2025. Revenue tells a softer story: surprises of -1.8% and -2.4% in the two prints before a +3.5% beat in 3Q FY2026. EPS clearing the bar while revenue lags points to cost and margin discipline carrying the surprises.
Source: derived from vendor data.
A flat FY2026, then growth resumes
The shape of the forward curve is a pause and a restart. Revenue and EPS are both modelled essentially flat in FY2026 against FY2025, before revenue grows 3.9%, 8.4% and 7.2% through FY2029 and normalized EPS rises 6.2% then 10% in FY2027 and FY2028. EBITDA tracks revenue upward, with the implied margin holding in the low-to-mid 40s across the visible years.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Coverage thins fast past FY2027
Read the outer years as a thin base, not a settled consensus. FY2027 draws 13 EPS estimates and 11 for revenue; by FY2029 both fall to 2, and the FY2029 EBITDA line rests on a single analyst. The ranges widen accordingly — FY2027 normalized EPS already spans $1.55 to $1.78.
Source: derived from vendor data.
The street is split five-five
Positioning is balanced rather than directional: five buys and two outperforms against five holds and one underperform, no sells, for a consensus recommendation score of 2.15. The ten price targets carry a mean of $40.30 and a median of $41, but a wide $26-to-$55 range — the high target is more than double the low, so the disagreement is about magnitude, not direction.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Visible Alpha broker models via S&P Xpressfeed · 4 brokers · 319 line items · freshest revision 2026-06-09.
Broker Models
Copart's broker models show a business pausing, not stalling. The four models have revenue essentially flat in FY-2026 as unit volume growth turns to -5.8% and price per car climbs 7.5%, then recovering to +4.8% growth in FY-2027 as international services and mix take over. Operating margin holds near 37%, and services generate almost all of the profit. Coverage is thin — four brokers at most, and the volume-versus-price split rests on a single model.
Revenue, FY-2027E
▲ $4.7B vs FY-2026E
Operating margin, FY-2027E
Diluted EPS, FY-2027E
▲ $1.58 vs FY-2026E
Free cash flow, FY-2026E
Source: derived from vendor data.
Revenue flat-lines in FY-2026, then recovers on services
The consensus path is a one-year pause. Total revenue is modeled essentially unchanged in FY-2026 (-0.2%) before growth resumes at +4.8% in FY-2027 and +6.8% into FY-2028. Services — roughly six-sevenths of the top line — do the work: service revenue grows +4.9% in FY-2027 while lower-margin vehicle sales stay a thin sliver of the mix.
Source: derived from vendor data.
FY-2028 rests on a single model, so read the final bar as one analyst's extrapolation rather than consensus.
Price is doing the work while volume falls
The mechanism behind the FY-2026 pause is the interesting part. The one broker who models unit economics has the number of salvage cars processed falling from 4.7 million to 4.4 million — volume growth of -5.8% — while revenue per car rises 7.5% to a little over 900 dollars. Price and mix, not throughput, carry service revenue through the soft year; volume barely recovers (+1%) in FY-2027.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Source: derived from vendor data.
International is the only region still growing
Geography sharpens the same story. On the two brokers who split services by region, US service revenue actually declines -2.1% in FY-2026 before a modest +3.3% rebound; international service revenue grows +9.7% then +11.1%. International is a small share of services but supplies most of the incremental growth over the forecast window.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Services are the entire profit engine
Vehicle sales are roughly a seventh of revenue but almost none of the profit — they are close to a pass-through, with the car cost re-billed to sellers. Service gross profit runs above two billion dollars a year against tens of millions from vehicles. That mix keeps blended gross margin near 45% and operating margin near 37%, both edging up about half a point in FY-2027.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Where the four models disagree
Consensus on the headline is tight; the real spread is in cash and the out-year. On FY-2027, free cash flow — modeled by only two brokers — ranges from about 1.0 to 1.3 billion dollars, a far wider band than revenue or operating income. Cash conversion, not the P&L, is the open question.
Source: derived from vendor data.
Headline P&L consensus, momentum and beat/miss live in the CapIQ tab.
Source: S&P Capital IQ transcripts via Xpressfeed · latest indexed call 2026-05-21 · generated 2026-08-03.
Latest call digest
Copart, Inc., Q3 2026 Earnings Call, May 21, 2026 · 2026-05-21T21:30:00
Q3 FY2026 — reported May 21, 2026. Prepared remarks leaned on Copart's structural story: total loss frequency reaching 23.6% in the first calendar quarter of 2026, record seasonally adjusted U.S. insurance ASPs (up 4.1% year-over-year), international buyers now more than a third of U.S. auction volume and nearly half of proceeds, and a pure-sale insurance mix at all-time highs. Consolidated revenue rose 2.1% to $1.24 billion and diluted EPS grew 2.4% to $0.43, with roughly $5.5 billion of liquidity and no debt; the company had repurchased over 43.4 million shares for more than $1.6 billion fiscal year-to-date. The Q&A reality was more pointed: global insurance units fell 2.7% (U.S. down 4.2%), and analysts spent most of their time on the size of the whole-car business — which management would not quantify — plus fuel pass-through, the 2026 and 2027 claims outlook, and the economics of the rising pure-sale mix. International momentum (revenue up 14.1%) and the newly launched domestic long-haul delivery product were the clearest bright spots.
Participant coverage from the latest call.
| Group | Participants | Count |
|---|---|---|
| Management | Operator; Jeffrey Liaw — Former CEO & Director, Copart, Inc.; Leah Stearns — Senior VP & CFO, Copart, Inc. | 3 |
| Analysts | Bob Labick — President, CJS Securities, Inc.; Craig Kennison — Director of Research Operations and Senior Research Analyst, Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division; Jash Patwa — Analyst, JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division; John Healy — MD & Equity Research Analyst, Northcoast Research Partners, LLC; Jeffrey Lick — MD & Research Analyst, Stephens Inc., Research Division | 5 |
Curated latest-call exchanges; one row per analyst topic.
| Analyst | Firm | Topic | What changed in Q&A |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Labick | CJS Securities | Fuel and transport cost pass-through | Asked how rising fuel and transport costs flow through Copart's hybrid tow fleet; management said it adjusts contractor rates market-by-market to keep the network serviceable. |
| Craig Kennison | Baird | Claims outlook and AI catalysts from the Insurance Advisory Board | Pressed on what carriers expect for 2026 and 2027 claims and on industry catalysts for change; management cited continued consumer coverage pullback and AI on the claims side. |
| Jash Patwa | JPMorgan | Whole-car size, crossover buyers and pure-sale mix | Sought the size of the noninsurance business and the earnings implications of a higher pure-sale mix; management gave qualitative color but did not quantify the segment. |
| John Healy | Northcoast Research | Whole-car definition and BluCar branding | Asked management to define and size whole car and whether BluCar needs a non-Copart brand; management described a vehicle-quality spectrum without sizing the business. |
| Jeffrey Lick | Stephens | Domestic long-haul delivery product | Asked about the newly launched long-haul offering; the CFO said it added about $15 million of year-over-year facility cost and carries a healthy margin. |
Theme tracker
Themes are curator-classified across supplied calls.
| Theme | Status | Quarters mentioned | Read-through |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rising total loss frequency as the structural growth engine | persisted | Q4 2023, Q1 2024, Q2 2024, Q3 2024, Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026, Q2 2026, Q3 2026 | Management has anchored every call on a steady secular rise in total loss frequency, framing Copart as an active driver of it through auction returns rather than a passive beneficiary. |
| Consumer insurance pullback and softening claims | emerged | Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026, Q2 2026, Q3 2026 | Under-insurance and a consumer pullback on coverage became the primary explanation for insurance unit declines; management insists the pattern is cyclical, not secular. |
| Noninsurance and whole-car growth (BluCar, dealer, crossover buyers) | persisted | Q4 2023, Q1 2024, Q2 2024, Q3 2024, Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026, Q2 2026, Q3 2026 | The noninsurance flywheel (rental, fleet, finance and dealer vehicles plus crossover buyers) has been a consistent and increasingly featured growth lever across the history. |
| International segment momentum | persisted | Q4 2023, Q1 2024, Q2 2024, Q3 2024, Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026, Q2 2026, Q3 2026 | The U.K., Germany and Canada recur as growth drivers, and international buyers are described as an ever-larger share of U.S. auction proceeds. |
| Enterprise generative-AI deployment | emerged | Q4 2025, Q2 2026, Q3 2026 | Technology has always featured, but the framing escalated in fiscal 2026 from machine-learning image tools to enterprise-wide generative AI and a claims-side value proposition offered to carriers. |
| Share repurchases activated | emerged | Q2 2026, Q3 2026 | After years of describing buybacks as long-term optionality against a large cash balance, Copart began active open-market and 10b5-1 repurchases in fiscal 2026. |
| Catastrophe and storm-preparedness growth narrative | dropped | Q4 2023, Q3 2024, Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025 | Proactive storm-season readiness (Helene and Milton, dedicated catastrophe acreage, elevated named-storm forecasts) was a prominent driver through fiscal 2025 but has receded to year-ago comparison in fiscal 2026 after a quiet storm season. |
Guidance ledger
Quotes, calls, and speakers are source-verified; outcomes are curator-classified.
| Verbatim guidance | Call | Speaker | Curator outcome | Outcome note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| “when you consider all of the auction-mediated vehicles that are not from insurance companies in the United States, that's 15 million plus” | Copart, Inc., Q3 2026 Earnings Call, May 21, 2026 · 2026-05-21T21:30:00 | Jeffrey Liaw | unknown | A forward opportunity-sizing for noninsurance whole-car volume rather than a formal financial target; Copart does not issue quantitative guidance, so no later outcome can be judged. |
Q&A pressure map
Question counts and firms are curator tallies; analyst coverage shown above.
| Topic | Questions | Firms | Pressure / response |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance unit declines and accident/claims frequency | 12 | CJS Securities, Baird, Northcoast Research, BNP Paribas, JPMorgan, Jefferies, Stephens | The dominant line of questioning, raised on essentially every call; management repeatedly attributes softness to carrier policy-in-force mix and cyclical consumer under-insurance rather than competitive share loss. |
| Whole-car and noninsurance sizing and economics | 8 | CJS Securities, Northcoast Research, JPMorgan, Jefferies, BNP Paribas | Analysts have repeatedly asked management to size the noninsurance business; management offers qualitative color and a TAM framing but consistently declines to give a segment figure, a recurring gap between the question asked and the answer given. |
| Capital allocation and share buybacks | 6 | Northcoast Research, JPMorgan, Baird, Stephens | Pressed on why buybacks now and whether a formal or accelerated program is coming; management frames repurchases as ordinary long-term capital return without committing to structure or pace. |
| Purple Wave, heavy equipment and M&A appetite | 5 | CJS Securities, Baird, JPMorgan | Recurring questions on soft heavy-equipment GTV and why Copart has not pursued more M&A; management cites tariff-driven buyer paralysis and a deliberately high acquisition bar. |
| Tariffs and used-vehicle values | 4 | Baird, BNP Paribas, JPMorgan | Probed on tariff effects on repair economics and ASPs; management frames tariffs as net-neutral-to-positive by pushing more vehicles toward total loss. |
| Land and yard capacity versus declining volume | 4 | Baird, BNP Paribas, Jefferies | Questioned heavy land and PP&E investment against falling unit volumes; management defends a long-lead, disciplined capacity build. |
| AI disruption risk and competitive moat | 3 | Baird, CJS Securities | Asked where AI could disrupt Copart; management points to physical storage, global buyer liquidity and multi-jurisdiction regulatory knowledge as moats. |
Language shifts
Only language evidence verified against the referenced component is shown.
| Observation | Verbatim evidence | Call ID | Component |
|---|---|---|---|
| New geopolitical-risk vocabulary entered the prepared remarks, with 'global conflict' framed as a live disruption to buyer corridors — a shift from the tariff-centric uncertainty language of prior calls. | “despite the logistical and economic disruptions of global conflict” | 2000324320 | 1 |
| Management increasingly casts soft insurance volume in 'pullback' and 'retrenchment' terms, describing consumers actively reducing coverage rather than simply lower claims. | “the consumer pullback on insurance coverage” | 2000324320 | 1 |
| AI language escalated from tool deployment to the CEO's personal, hands-on adoption, signaling a more assertive stance on internal productivity. | “including my own significant personal engagement in Claude Code and other such platforms” | 1984099380 | 1 |
| Alongside AI enthusiasm, management adopted a more defensive register about disruption risk, acknowledging vigilance rather than pure confidence. | “I think we're always appropriately paranoid about disruption and the directions that it could come from” | 1984099380 | 13 |
The call history frames the central debate cleanly: insurance unit volumes have swung from mid-to-high single-digit growth in fiscal 2024 to high single-digit declines in fiscal 2026, even as pricing, margins and total loss frequency keep climbing. Whether the consumer under-insurance behind the volume softness proves cyclical, as management repeatedly insists, or more durable is the question the next several quarters will settle.